With the NFL off-season firmly in the rearview mirror, all attention now turns to Sept. 4, when the Philadelphia Eagles host the Dallas Cowboys.
Normally, the Thursday Night Football matchup sets up the Sunday slate, but football fans will be treated to an AFC West matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Los Angeles Chargers in Sao Paulo, Brazil, on Friday.
With kickoff rapidly approaching, betting markets have mostly settled on expectations for the season. With that in mind, here’s the scoop on some of the main NFL futures you can take advantage of.
All odds courtesy of BetMGM and subject to change
MVP odds
Frontrunners
Lamar Jackson +500 | Joe Burrow +600 | Josh Allen +600 | Patrick Mahomes +650 | Jayden Daniels +900 | Jalen Hurts +1800 | Jordan Love +1800 | Justin Herbert +2000 | C.J. Stroud +2500 | Brock Purdy +3000 | Baker Mayfield +3000 | Matthew Stafford +3500 | Bo Nix +3500
Lamar Jackson is the favourite to win his third MVP after narrowly missing out last season. The rest of the top contenders are the usual suspects — the top quarterbacks in the league. Second-year QBs Jayden Daniels and Bo Nix are also firmly in the mix.
If it’s not one of these top 13 picks, odds are the award will be given to another starting QB who leads their team deep into January/February.
Non-QBs
Saquon Barkley +5000 | Justin Jefferson +10000 | Ja’Marr Chase +10000 | Jahmyr Gibbs +10000 | Derrick Henry +10000 | Nico Collins +15000 | Bijan Robinson +15000 | Christian McCaffrey +15000 | Puka Nacua +15000 | Ceedee Lamb +15000
Only three non-QBs have won MVP since 2005, so these stars are long shots to take home the hardware. Saquon Barkley finished third in the race last season (although he only had one second-place vote and zero first-place votes), so it would take an all-time season plus statistical down years from QBs just for the thought of the dream to become a reality.
Super Bowl odds (plus regular season win totals)
Baltimore Ravens +700 (win total over/under 11.5)
Buffalo Bills +700 (win total over/under 12.5)
Philadelphia Eagles +700 (win total over/under 11.5)
Kansas City Chiefs +800 (win total over/under 11.5)
Detroit Lions +1000 (win total over/under 10.5)
Green Bay Packers +1300 (win total over/under 9.5)
Washington Commanders +1800 (win total over/under 9.5)
Cincinnati Bengals +2000 (win total over/under 9.5)
Los Angeles Rams +2000 (win total over/under 9.5)
San Francisco 49ers +2000 (win total over/under 10.5)
Minnesota Vikings +2500 (win total over/under 9.5)
Denver Broncos +2500 (win total over/under 9.5)
Los Angeles Chargers +2800 (win total over/under 9.5)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3000 (win total over/under 9.5)
Houston Texans +3500 (win total over/under 9.5)
Chicago Bears +4000 (win total over/under 8.5)
Pittsburgh Steelers +4000 (win total over/under 8.5)
Arizona Cardinals +5000 (win total over/under 8.5)
Dallas Cowboys +6000 (win total over/under 7.5)
Seattle Seahawks +6000 (win total over/under 8.5)
Atlanta Falcons +8000 (win total over/under 8.5)
New England Patriots +8000 (win total over/under 8.5)
Jacksonville Jaguars +8000 (win total over/under 7.5)
Miami Dolphins +8000 (win total over/under 7.5)
Indianapolis Colts +10000 (win total over/under 7.5)
Las Vegas Raiders +10000 (win total over/under 6.5)
Carolina Panthers +15000 (win total over/under 6.5)
New York Giants +20000 (win total over/under 5.5)
Tennessee Titans +20000 (win total over/under 6.5)
New York Jets +20000 (win total over/under 6.5)
Cleveland Browns +30000 (win total over/under 4.5)
New Orleans Saints +30000 (win total over/under 4.5)
The Philadelphia Eagles own the top odds to repeat as Super Bowl champions, although the Buffalo Bills and Baltimore Ravens sit at the top with them. Then there’s the Chiefs, whose three-peat was denied by a beatdown at the hands of the Eagles last February. Detroit is also one of the top five teams favoured to hoist the Lombardi, as Dan Campbell has the feisty Lions on the one-yard line of glory.
Compared to last season’s odds, the two biggest risers are the Washington Commanders and the Denver Broncos. Both teams enjoyed turnaround years with rookie QBs. The Commanders and Broncos were both +12500 to win the Super Bowl last year, and now have win totals of 9.5.
Some of the biggest fallers include Dallas and the Jets. The Cowboys went from a top 10 favourite in 2024 (+1600) down to a middle-of-the-pack club, while New York dropped all the way to +20000 from +1800 following a tumultuous season.
Green Bay made a major jump in the odds following the acquisition of Micah Parsons on Thursday, going from +2200 up to +1300.
Division winner odds (plus playoff chances)
AFC North
Ravens -160 (make playoffs: -625 | miss playoffs: +450)
Bengals +260 (make playoffs: -145 | miss playoffs: +120)
Steelers +550 (make playoffs: +118 | miss playoffs: -140)
Browns +3300 (make playoffs: +750 | miss playoffs: -1200)
Baltimore’s the favourite to win the division, and rightfully so. The Ravens topped the vaunted AFC North the past two seasons and show no signs of slowing down. Cincinnati somehow managed to retain Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins and Trey Hendrickson, all while beefing up its interior offensive line with Dalton Risner and rookie Dylan Fairchild. The Steelers still possess one of the NFL’s top defences, but does 41-year-old Aaron Rodgers still have what it takes to be effective under centre? And the Browns, well, they’re the Browns.
AFC East
Bills -325 (make playoffs: -750 | miss playoffs: +525)
Patriots +550 (make playoffs: +145 | miss playoffs: -175)
Dolphins +850 (make playoffs: +225 | miss playoffs: -275)
Jets +1800 (make playoffs: +475 | miss playoffs: -650)
The AFC East runs through Buffalo. The Bills, led by reigning MVP Josh Allen, are looking to make it six straight division titles. Second-year QB Drake Maye and the Patriots would like to make the leap to a contender, and certainly spent like a team poised to make a run with the signings of Stefon Diggs, Carlton Davis, Milton Williams and Harold Landry. The Dolphins appear to be experiencing some turbulence with their stars, such as Tyreek Hill, and have already moved on from Jalen Ramsey. Meanwhile, the Jets are undergoing some more roster turnover under new management.
AFC West
Chiefs -118 (make playoffs: -400 | miss playoffs: +310)
Broncos +310 (make playoffs: -145 | miss playoffs: +120)
Chargers +310 (make playoffs: -130 | miss playoffs: +110)
Raiders +1700 (make playoffs: +300 | miss playoffs: -375)
Is this the year Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs will finally be dethroned? The AFC West provided three playoff teams last season, with L.A. making the post-season in its first season under Jim Harbaugh, while Sean Payton and Nix led Denver to its first playoff birth since its Super Bowl 50 victory during the 2015-16 season. The Raiders, now under Super Bowl-winning head coach Pete Carroll, added veteran QB Geno Smith to lead the Silver and Black.
AFC South
Texans -105 (make playoffs: -140 | miss playoffs: +115)
Jaguars +310 (make playoffs: +165 | miss playoffs: -200)
Colts +375 (make playoffs: +195 | miss playoffs: -235)
Titans +775 (make playoffs: +425 | miss playoffs: -600)
The AFC South is one of the more up-for-grabs divisions in the NFL. Houston has taken the crown every season with C.J. Stroud under centre, but a suspect O-line may prove costly. The Jags boast one of the best young receiving duos in Brian Thomas Jr. and rookie Travis Hunter, while the Titans are hoping first-overall pick Cam Ward is their franchise guy. Indianapolis is playing .500 ball in two seasons under Shane Steichen, and nine wins could be enough to sneak into the post-season. The question is, will it be Daniel Jones or Anthony Richardson that takes them there?
NFC North
Packers +170 (make playoffs: -200 | miss playoffs: +165)
Lions +200 (make playoffs: -185 | miss playoffs: +150)
Vikings +320 (make playoffs: -115 | miss playoffs: -105)
Bears +625 (make playoffs: +165 | miss playoffs: -200)
The Lions were the favourites to reign atop the NFC North until the Packers swung a blockbuster deal for star pass rusher Micah Parsons. While there are questions in Green Bay’s secondary (with the exception of Xavier McKinney), the addition of Parsons alongside Rashan Gary will ease the burden on the backend. Minnesota, coming off a 14-3 season, turns to second-year QB J.J. McCarthy to lead its talented offence. And with Brian Flores calling the shots, a defence that added Jonathan Allen and Javon Hargrave up front is a recipe for disaster for opposing offences. But don’t sleep on Caleb Williams and the Bears, who may boast a highly potent offence under Ben Johnson.
NFC East
Eagles -150 (make playoffs: -425 | miss playoffs: +325)
Commanders +225 (make playoffs: -140 | miss playoffs: +115)
Cowboys +675 (make playoffs: +240 | miss playoffs: -300)
Giants +2200 (make playoffs: +650 | miss playoffs: -1000)
The addition of Deebo Samuel creates a more dynamic offence for Daniels and the Commanders, but is it enough to dethrone the reigning Super Bowl champs? Dallas’ chances of overcoming its playoff shortcomings took a major hit with the loss of Parsons, but at least a duo of Ceedee Lamb and George Pickens will be must-see TV. And for the Giants, quarterback remains the biggest question mark. Can Russell Wilson find his former self, or has that ship sailed? Is Jameis Winston force-feeding Malik Nabers enough, or does rookie Jaxson Dart get some run as the starter?
NFC West
49ers +160 (make playoffs: -200 | miss playoffs: +165)
Rams +180 (make playoffs: -150 | miss playoffs: +125)
Cardinals +450 (make playoffs: +120 | miss playoffs: -145)
Seahawks +525 (make playoffs: +170 | miss playoffs: -210)
The Rams and 49ers are nearly a pick ’em for the division title, and both teams are already surrounded by health issues. San Francisco is consistently one of the most injured squads in football, and is already down receivers Brandon Aiyuk and Jauan Jennings. And will Christian McCaffrey be Christian McCaffrey? Meanwhile, L.A. will go only far if Matthew Stafford stays healthy. The QB’s been dealing with a back injury that has kept the 37-year-old out for most of training camp, but he’s on track to play Week 1. The Cardinals are a dark horse candidate for the division with a young and talented team on both sides of the ball, while Seattle looks to improve on its 10-7 record with Sam Darnold at the helm.
NFC South
Buccaneers -115 (make playoffs: -165 | miss playoffs: +140)
Falcons +225 (make playoffs: +150 | miss playoffs: -185)
Panthers +425 (make playoffs: +280 | miss playoffs: -350)
Saints +2000 (make playoffs: +650 | miss playoffs: -1000)
The NFC South is essentially a two-horse race between Tampa Bay and Atlanta. Do Michael Penix Jr. and the young Falcons squad have what it takes to halt the Buccaneers from taking their fifth straight title? Carolina is on the outside looking in, but Bryce Young showed flashes of why he was a first-overall pick. If he continues on that trajectory, the Panthers can make some noise if their inexperienced defence holds strong. And Saints fans, Spencer Rattler and Tyler Shough flashed some upside, but hopefully Arch Manning declares for the 2026 draft.
from Sportsnet.ca
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